Return to site

Jason Schlachter Poker

broken image


Stefan Otto is on Facebook. Join Facebook to connect with Stefan Otto and others you may know. Facebook gives people the power to share and makes the. Unique Phone Man Men's and Women's Tank Tops designed and sold by artists. High-quality cotton, ava. Posted on October 19, 2016 by Jason Schlachter Often, when a poker player loses and they aren't very good, their chief complaint is that online poker is rigged.

Poker

Often, when a poker player loses and they aren't very good, their chief complaint is that online poker is rigged. They complain that the random number generator that assigns the cards is rigged against them or set by the house to ensure more rake; that there is a 'cashout curse,' whereby cashing out causes you to lose; that the number of bad beats they have taken is statistically impossible. Exclusively, the people who complain about the cards being rigged are losing players who are only able to see evidence for the rigging and are highly resistant to any reason, logic or proof.

T slot receptacle switch. I will go through the flaws in the common complaints briefly, and only because they are so pervasive that I feel the need to refute them.

Game

1. The software is rigged against them or to ensure more rake. Most poker software is inspected by 3rd parties to ensure fairness and there has never been any case that they have been tampered with or that they have malfunctioned. Many people have played a statistically significant number of hands (I have played over 10 million hands in my career) and these hands and boards can be imported into a database in order to ensure they are occurring at the correct frequencies. People have done this and the random number generator has never been found to be unfair in any way. Since hand histories are available and people can compile a statistically relevant number of hands, if there were irregularities, they would have been found.

2. The 'cashout curse,' is when people lose soon after they cash out their winnings. The best explanation I have heard for this phenomenon is regression to the mean. This is when a losing player runs above expectation (is lucky and wins) and then cashes out. When they then return to expectation (by losing) they view losing as something anomalous, because now they believe themselves to be winners who have cashed out. The easiest way to resolve this internal conflict is to blame it on the software being rigged against people who cash out, rather than to admit that they are not as skilled as they believe.

3. Statistically unlikely events. I smile every time I get aces on the same table in back to back hands, because I know how many players would say the software is rigged because it is so rare (about 48,000 to 1 against). In actuality, I play more than 25,000 hands a week on average, so while it is unusual for me to have aces in back to back hands, it comes up about every 2 weeks. Even I have been a professional for a long time, I sometimes feel like I have lost every hand for a few days in a row. In reality, when I feel like I am getting unlucky, I tend to forget the hands I win and focus on the hands I lose. The truth is that variance occurs and that relative to my winrate, sometimes I lose more than I should and sometimes I win more than I should. Overall, it is exactly as expected.

Jason Schlachter Poker

Jason Schlachter Poker Club

Poker

The irony of the parallel between the 2016 Presidential Election and the people who complain about online poker being rigged is not lost on me. For the past several weeks Donald Trump has started to forcefully call the election, the voting and the media rigged against him.

First, Trump saying that he might lose because the election is rigged is not a sound argument because that would require the coordination of thousands of local, state and federal election officials, who have both Republican and Democratic party affiliations. Polls in Pennsylvania show Trump down approximately 10 points and predict he has a less than 10% chance of winning. This independent data serves a check against claims of widespread voter fraud in same way I can evaluate my hand histories to ensure that the random number generator is operating correctly. The most likely explanation for Trump losing is not that the polls, media and election are rigged, but that voters are favoring Hillary Clinton by a significant margin. It is highly unlikely that significant voting fraud will take place since there have been several studies who have determined that it is minimal(under 100 cases in the last 3 elections). Anecdotal evidence is not evidence of widespread conspiracy in the same way that your friend getting aces twice in a row doesn't mean that the software is rigged.

Slots are called in the order of the connection done to the signal when working in single thread and there's no guaranteed order when working in multiple thread environment. But this is an implementation detail and can change at any one time. As for the signals, I don't know which is emitted first I haven't checked the source. If you use Qt::QueuedConnection or if sender and receiver of the signal are in different threads and the connecion is automatic 'emit signal' returns immediately and the slot is executed once control goes back to the event loop (or QCoreApplication::processEvents is called) if multiple slots are connected to the same signal, the order of slot. Qt signal slot ordered. In Qt v4.5 and earlier: No, the order is undefined as can be seen in the documentation here: If several slots are connected to one signal, the slots will be executed one after the other, in an arbitrary order, when the signal is emitted. Edit: From version 4.6 onwards this is no longer true. Now the slots will run in the order they are connected. Signals and Slots. In Qt, we have an alternative to the callback technique: We use signals and slots. A signal is emitted when a particular event occurs. Qt's widgets have many predefined signals, but we can always subclass widgets to add our own signals to them. A slot is a function that is called in response to a particular signal.

Second, when Trump is suspicious of Republican candidates' poor performances in inner city districts comprised of mostly minorities, he fails to consider that: a) The districts are small, as small as a few hundred people. b) The districts are comprised of people and demographics who tend not to vote for Republicans. c)Trump is polling in the low single digits with minorities. So, it is not an anomaly that he would get few votes in a district where the polls say people are not voting for him and the demographics predict he should be doing poorly. I am sure Trump isn't suspect of rural Wyoming districts where he is winning nearly 100% of the vote.

Third, Trump's complaint that the media is rigged is bogus. The media's hyperfocus on him has resulted in enough attention to get him this far. He achieved unprecedented fame and recognition simply from being wealthy. He was in the tabloids when he was younger, on the Apprentice, and now, every news channel covers his rallies, which gives him a platform to expand his audience.

Trump's expectation in the primaries and in the presidential campaign was poor because of his lack of experience, lack of knowledge and his many scandals. Most other politicians would have lost their support long ago, and the fact that none of his outlandish and offensive statements or actions were enough to squash his campaign meant that he was surely 'running above expectation.' Until the last few weeks, the media coverage has been to his 'yuge' benefit, so he is starting to sound a lot like someone who is complaining about the 'cashout curse.' Over the past few weeks, he has returned to his expectation, in which people are horrified and unlikely to vote for him based upon what he has said and done is merely reversion to the mean. It is not statistically surprising.

Jason Schlachter Poker Player

Jason

Often, when a poker player loses and they aren't very good, their chief complaint is that online poker is rigged. They complain that the random number generator that assigns the cards is rigged against them or set by the house to ensure more rake; that there is a 'cashout curse,' whereby cashing out causes you to lose; that the number of bad beats they have taken is statistically impossible. Exclusively, the people who complain about the cards being rigged are losing players who are only able to see evidence for the rigging and are highly resistant to any reason, logic or proof.

T slot receptacle switch. I will go through the flaws in the common complaints briefly, and only because they are so pervasive that I feel the need to refute them.

1. The software is rigged against them or to ensure more rake. Most poker software is inspected by 3rd parties to ensure fairness and there has never been any case that they have been tampered with or that they have malfunctioned. Many people have played a statistically significant number of hands (I have played over 10 million hands in my career) and these hands and boards can be imported into a database in order to ensure they are occurring at the correct frequencies. People have done this and the random number generator has never been found to be unfair in any way. Since hand histories are available and people can compile a statistically relevant number of hands, if there were irregularities, they would have been found.

2. The 'cashout curse,' is when people lose soon after they cash out their winnings. The best explanation I have heard for this phenomenon is regression to the mean. This is when a losing player runs above expectation (is lucky and wins) and then cashes out. When they then return to expectation (by losing) they view losing as something anomalous, because now they believe themselves to be winners who have cashed out. The easiest way to resolve this internal conflict is to blame it on the software being rigged against people who cash out, rather than to admit that they are not as skilled as they believe.

3. Statistically unlikely events. I smile every time I get aces on the same table in back to back hands, because I know how many players would say the software is rigged because it is so rare (about 48,000 to 1 against). In actuality, I play more than 25,000 hands a week on average, so while it is unusual for me to have aces in back to back hands, it comes up about every 2 weeks. Even I have been a professional for a long time, I sometimes feel like I have lost every hand for a few days in a row. In reality, when I feel like I am getting unlucky, I tend to forget the hands I win and focus on the hands I lose. The truth is that variance occurs and that relative to my winrate, sometimes I lose more than I should and sometimes I win more than I should. Overall, it is exactly as expected.

Jason Schlachter Poker Club

The irony of the parallel between the 2016 Presidential Election and the people who complain about online poker being rigged is not lost on me. For the past several weeks Donald Trump has started to forcefully call the election, the voting and the media rigged against him.

First, Trump saying that he might lose because the election is rigged is not a sound argument because that would require the coordination of thousands of local, state and federal election officials, who have both Republican and Democratic party affiliations. Polls in Pennsylvania show Trump down approximately 10 points and predict he has a less than 10% chance of winning. This independent data serves a check against claims of widespread voter fraud in same way I can evaluate my hand histories to ensure that the random number generator is operating correctly. The most likely explanation for Trump losing is not that the polls, media and election are rigged, but that voters are favoring Hillary Clinton by a significant margin. It is highly unlikely that significant voting fraud will take place since there have been several studies who have determined that it is minimal(under 100 cases in the last 3 elections). Anecdotal evidence is not evidence of widespread conspiracy in the same way that your friend getting aces twice in a row doesn't mean that the software is rigged.

Slots are called in the order of the connection done to the signal when working in single thread and there's no guaranteed order when working in multiple thread environment. But this is an implementation detail and can change at any one time. As for the signals, I don't know which is emitted first I haven't checked the source. If you use Qt::QueuedConnection or if sender and receiver of the signal are in different threads and the connecion is automatic 'emit signal' returns immediately and the slot is executed once control goes back to the event loop (or QCoreApplication::processEvents is called) if multiple slots are connected to the same signal, the order of slot. Qt signal slot ordered. In Qt v4.5 and earlier: No, the order is undefined as can be seen in the documentation here: If several slots are connected to one signal, the slots will be executed one after the other, in an arbitrary order, when the signal is emitted. Edit: From version 4.6 onwards this is no longer true. Now the slots will run in the order they are connected. Signals and Slots. In Qt, we have an alternative to the callback technique: We use signals and slots. A signal is emitted when a particular event occurs. Qt's widgets have many predefined signals, but we can always subclass widgets to add our own signals to them. A slot is a function that is called in response to a particular signal.

Second, when Trump is suspicious of Republican candidates' poor performances in inner city districts comprised of mostly minorities, he fails to consider that: a) The districts are small, as small as a few hundred people. b) The districts are comprised of people and demographics who tend not to vote for Republicans. c)Trump is polling in the low single digits with minorities. So, it is not an anomaly that he would get few votes in a district where the polls say people are not voting for him and the demographics predict he should be doing poorly. I am sure Trump isn't suspect of rural Wyoming districts where he is winning nearly 100% of the vote.

Third, Trump's complaint that the media is rigged is bogus. The media's hyperfocus on him has resulted in enough attention to get him this far. He achieved unprecedented fame and recognition simply from being wealthy. He was in the tabloids when he was younger, on the Apprentice, and now, every news channel covers his rallies, which gives him a platform to expand his audience.

Trump's expectation in the primaries and in the presidential campaign was poor because of his lack of experience, lack of knowledge and his many scandals. Most other politicians would have lost their support long ago, and the fact that none of his outlandish and offensive statements or actions were enough to squash his campaign meant that he was surely 'running above expectation.' Until the last few weeks, the media coverage has been to his 'yuge' benefit, so he is starting to sound a lot like someone who is complaining about the 'cashout curse.' Over the past few weeks, he has returned to his expectation, in which people are horrified and unlikely to vote for him based upon what he has said and done is merely reversion to the mean. It is not statistically surprising.

Jason Schlachter Poker Player

Jason Schlachter Poker Games

In addition, Trump has pursued a strategy that is unlikely to earn him enough votes to win the election. His attacks on Republican allies, attacks on women and minorities and his reluctance to encourage the voters on a local level, do not appeal to voters he desperately needs to win. He has doubled down on his core of support to the almost to the exclusion of others and his core does not contain enough voters for him to win. Touting irrelevant statistics like online click polls and the number of people at rallies as proof Trump is winning are akin to measuring poker earnings by how often your opponent folds to your bluffs. In the past, and hopefully in the future, anyone who behaves like Trump and has views like his will reach their expectation sooner and not be considered a serious candidate for President.

Jason Schlachter Poker Game

  • Share this:




broken image